Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Mauer OK, Sabathia Not So Much

Joe Mauer: Mauer was diagnosed with a possible stress reaction in his leg, which is the pre-cursor to a stress fracture, which obviously would have sidelined him for some time, especially as a catcher. Luckily the Twins caught it early and it appears to be be nothing as he slugged a HR and a double in a spring training game this morning, along with catching 3 innings.

On a side note concerning Mauer, I feel he's being overrated in drafts as a 2nd and 3rd round pick. There's no question that he's got the skills to be the best fantasy catcher in all of baseball with .320, 100 R, 25 HR, 100 RBI, 10 SB potential, but that's likely his career season, and even then a 2nd round pick on those numbers is stretching it. He must post those numbers to justify taking him where he's going. Position scarcity definitely increases the value of players like Jose Reyes (who's basically Carl Crawford at SS), Chase Utley, and Joe Mauer, but when you draft, you have to understand that taking Joe Mauer in the 2nd round over a player like Travis Hafner is just dumb. Hafner is going to give you .300/100/40/110 pretty much guaranteed, and that's a much wiser investment. If you still have a draft coming up and want Mauer, keep an eye on who else is available and don't pass up bigger, more guaranteed numbers at another position just to have the best catcher. His best value is when he's being drafted right before guys slated to post similar or slightly superior numbers at other deeper positions, not when he's being taken ahead of guys that will post similar to superior numbers to his projected career season.

C.C. Sabathia: Sabathia took a line drive off of his left wrist (his pitching wrist) in a spring training game today. There's no prognosis on his injury as of yet. If you've already drafted him you can hope for the best, but if you haven't drafted yet, I'd drop him in your tier a bit in case he's forced to miss potentially significant time.

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