Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Smoltz's Pinky, The Roll Of The Dice, and Mad Dog's CG

John Smoltz: First and foremost, let me address the scary moment last night when John Smoltz was defensively involved in a run-down, and a crash into the baserunner dislocated his pinky. X-rays were negative, so that's the best possible scenario. Smoltz has been pitching well this year, posting a 3.19 ERA with a 5-2 record plus 48 Ks in 59 1/3 IP. He might have his start pushed back depending on how the swelling subsides over the next several days, but he's avoided breaking anything and probably shouldn't miss more than one start at most.

Daisuke Matsuzaka: Dice-K continued his roll with a CG effort last night, giving up 1 run and 6 hits while K'ing 5. Combine this with his last effort, and he seems to have worked out his issues and his new throwing regimine might be the reason why. Most encouraging was that he didn't walk anyone, so hopefully he's fixed his control issues and will begin dominating the way fantasy owners imagined when they drafted him.

Greg Maddux: Greg Maddux also tossed a complete game last night, his first in about 2 years. Petco Park will no doubt help aid his stats this year, and because of that he's well worth owning in all formats. I would always start him at home, but I'd avoid his away starts against good offenses to maximize his value to your rotation.

Tom Gorzelanny: This dude is on a serious roll this year, and looks to be fulfilling the promise and talent he flashed in the minor leagues. His 2.36 ERA and 1.09 WHIP are great, and 34 Ks in 53 1/3 IP is respectable. Toss in the 5 wins, and he's been great to his fantasy owners so far this season. He's not quite this good, and given he's never thrown 200 innings before and has also battled arm problems the past, I'd highly suggest moving him now.

Hank Blalock: After a slow April, he's quitely been hitting very well in May. .370 with 3 HRs 6 doubles, and a 1.127 OPS. He's always had the talent, but he's consistently disappointed since his rookie season. I thought he'd get things turned around this year, and if you do too, contact his owner and point to the less-than-stellar overall stats and get him cheap. He could really become a monster once it heats up in Texas and balls start flying out of the ballpark.

Jesus Colome: Colome notched a save in last night's game, but he's not worth picking up. Washington is going to ease Cordero back into the closer's role after he missed a week due to the bereavement list, and given Rauch had pitched in 3 straight games, they gave Colome a chance. Odds are it'll be his only save of the season as he's clearly 3rd in line.

Brett Myers: After being moved to the closer's role following Gordon's arm problems, he's posted 7 IP, 3 H, 1 BB, 0 R, and 9 Ks. He's doing nothing to disprove my claim that he'll still be the closer when Gordon returns.

J.J. Hardy: 12 HRs, good for 2nd in the majors right now. A Brewers fan drafted him in one of my leagues, saying that he was confident Hardy would breakout this year. Kudos to him as he was likely waiver wire material in most leagues to start the season. Hardy was a legit power prospect at SS before injuries de-railed his first few seasons in the majors, but he's cruising now. He's not quite this good, obviously, but expect solid numbers the rest of the way as this isn't completely out of his realm.

Troy Glaus: In a shocking turn of events, he played last night through his foot injury and actually slugged a HR. Given he said he felt something pop in his foot the previous day, I'm not sure what's going on here. He's a bigtime power hitter and fantasy producer (outside of average) and is SS eligible, but he's always a health risk. He's played ~150 games the last two years, so maybe he has another one of those in him this year. It's hard to recommend selling him given the power he produces at the SS position, but if you have holes and can get a decent SS in return, I'd look to make a move before this foot issue becomes a bigger problem. It'd be even better if you can play up his very out-of-character batting average thus far.

David Wright: Your buy-low opportunity is quickly closing as he's really starting to rake now. Talk about his overall sub-standard numbers and see if you can get a deal done quick for a discount and he's entering what should be a nice tear.

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