Tuesday, August 7, 2007

Sunday's Action: Glavine's 300th Win

Gil Meche - 4 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 5 BB, 2 K. A brutal outing from Meche, but it should have been expected against the Yankees. His ERA is at 3.96, which is far more reasonable given his 1.33 WHIP. The Royals will probably regret giving him this contract, but at least it's only for 4 years. His stuff is still good, but his execution is not. He remains a fringe mixed league starter.

Mike Mussina - 6 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, W (7). He's won 3 straight starts now since his shelling at the hands of the Devil Rays. It was the only time he's given up more than 3 ER in his last 10 starts, although he's only pitched past the 6th inning twice. He remains a solid mixed league fantasy starter thanks to the resurgent Yankees offense.

Hideki Matsui - 1/3, 1 R, 2 RBI, HR (22). Don't get too carried away with his huge 13 HR July as that won't happen again this year. However, expecting 8-10 HR over the last 2 months is very reasonable, and that would put him over 30 for just the 2nd time in his US career. He's on pace to surpass 100 R and RBI thanks to a very nice 2nd half rebound.

Carlos Lee - 2/4, 1 R, 4 RBI, HR (23). Lee has already hit half the amount of HR post-AS break as he did pre-AS break, in about a quarter of the games. He's still on a serious roll and is helping his owners to big numbers right now.

Hanley Ramirez - 1/4, 2 R, 1 RBI, HR (19), SB (32). His AVG sits at .341, too. He's official made the race to be fantasy's best SS a dead heat between Jose Reyes and himself. Reyes will continue to steal a lot more bases, but Ramirez obviously has more pop and can hit for a higher AVG. Boston knew he'd be good, but there's no way any predicted he'd perform like this in his 2nd full season.

Bobby Jenks - 1 IP, 2 K, SV (32). 10 consecutive scoreless innings for Jenks as he's made a remarkable turnaround after a horrible stretch between mid-June and mid-July. He's pitching as well as any closer in baseball right now, showing his owners a big 2nd half after looking like he might melt down for the 2nd straight year.

Chuck James - 5 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 2 K. You can't use a fringe starter like James against an offense like Colorado. He's definitely a pitcher that you should play the matchups with, although with the acquisition of Teixeira, the Atlanta offense is even strong, making James a slightly better play due to the higher chances of a win.

Octavio Dotel - 1 IP, 2 H, 1 ER. He pitched 2 scoreless innings in his first two Braves appearances against Houston, but Colorado lit him up for 4 H, 5 R and 1 BB in 1 1/3 IP. He's well worth benching given his setup roll status until he turns himself around.

Dustin McGowan - 8 IP, 8 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K, W (8). That's 4 straight appearances of 2 ER or less. Unless you have a rotation full of no brainer starters, there's no harm is riding out the hot streak. He has a lot of talent, with a very good fastball and a quality slider/changeup. TJ surgery back in 2004 dimmed his star as did the inconsistency that followed it. I still wouldn't start him against the Yankees and Red Sox, but he's well worth owning for his other starts until he cools down.

Jeremy Accardo - 1 IP, 1 H, 1 K, SV (20). He's only allowed 2 ER in his past 12 outings, settling some concerns that he was being figured out. He still doesn't project as a long-term closer, but he's giving his owners some relief after having problems in June and early July.

Adam Wainwright - 7 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 7 K. Pretty solid outing against the Nationals. Despite his improved performance over the past 10 outings or so, his WHIP remains a problem and he hasn't turned the corner yet. He's moved himself into the fringe mixed league starter catagory, though.

Erik Bedard - 6 2/3 IP. 9 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 11 K, W (12). This is a bad start by his standards these days. He's become a strikeout monster this season, posting 192 K in 154 1/3 IP. He's won 8 of his last 9 starts, and he's turned into a fantasy ace this season.

Miguel Tejada - 1/5, 1 R, 1 RBI, HR (9). He's only hitting .243 since his return, but he's chipped in 2 HR, 6 RBI, and 5 R in those 9 games. The power was the biggest concern given the wrist injury, but he's proving that he can still hit the long ball. He should be a very solid fantasy SS the rest of the season.

Fausto Carmona - 7 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 5 BB, 5 K. Carmona obviously had terrible command, but he pitched around jams and turned in another great outing. Unfortunately he was out-dueled and went 0-2 in his bid to become a 14 game winner.

Scott Baker - 8 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K. Wow, and against a good Cleveland offense as well. Again, he must be owned at this point. He has quality stuff and is finally succeeding at the major league level. I like his chances the rest of the year before the AL offenses better understand him and start to adjust.

John Lackey - 6 2/3 IP, 9 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, W (14). A sloppy outing, but he limited the damage and picked up the win thanks to some timely hitting in the 7th inning. He's going to continue to see his ERA rise with a 1.24 WHIP unless he can cut down on the baserunners.

Dan Haren - 6 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K. He also did a good job dodging baserunners and only allowing 2 runs. He's definitely been far more hittable since the start of July, and he's also going to see an ERA spike if that continues.

Josh Beckett - 6 2/3 IP, 8 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K,. W (14). Another pitcher that dodged baserunners, although his strong K count came in handy in making that happen. He stayed with Lackey atop the AL in wins, and he's on his way to his 2nd straight 200 IP season if he can continue to avoid the blister problems that plagued him much of his Florida career.

Manny Ramirez - 2/4, 1 R, 2 RBI, HR (19). Keep mashing, Manny!

Brandon Webb - 9 IP, 7 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 4 K, W (11). Webb is rolling now, with 24 straight scoreless innings. Amazing how he improves his command, then goes on a hot streak. Hopefully he has a strong finish to the season ahead of him, but his 2.92 ERA does not match his 1.24 WHIP. However, his recent streak of pitching definitely supports the ERA plummet.

Brad Penny - 7 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 5 K. Very strong outing from Penny, but his supporting offense was thorough dominated by Brandon Webb in his 2nd failed attempt to reach win #14. He was due for some bad luck anyways given this was his 3rd loss of the season.

Justin Upton - 2/4, 1 RBI. He's awfully raw at 19 years old, but B.J.'s little brother is a bigtime offensive prospect and was mashing minor league pitcher prior to his promotion. If your OF is in shambles, give the kid a shot. Odds are stacked against him making a big fantasy splash, though.

Tom Glavine - 6 1/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 1 K. Congrats to Glavine for career win #300. He pitched a fine ballgame and it was a pleasure to watch him achieve this career milestone. Given the change in the game with more relief pitchers, less durable pitchers, and fewer starts per season, Glavine might be the last pitcher to reach this mark for quite a while.

Lastings Milledge - 3/4, 2 R, SB (1). He's hitting .305 on the season, and only his lineup position (usually 7th or 8th) is holding him back from making a bigger fantasy impact. He's a great sleeper for next year as he seems to have finally adjusted to major league pitching, at least for now. Will Beltran still out for a while and Shawn Green not hitting well, he still has a chance to start the rest of the year and be a borderline 3rd OF in mixed leagues.

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