Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Broncos WR Brandon Marshall Suspended For 2-3 Games

The NFL suspended Broncos WR Brandon Marshall for 2-3 games. The 3rd game of the suspension will not have to be served as long as Marshall attends counseling for his various off-the-field issues.

Fantasy Impact: The most complicating factor of Marshall's suspension is the fact he has a DUI trial on September 24th. No details have been released regarding what could happen to Marshall's 2008 availability pending the outcome of the trial. Several outcomes could take place from here. One, Marshall's current suspension could already include the fact he's due in court, and the outcome of the trial won't impact his availability for the 2008 season. Two, Marshall could face an additional suspension, pending on the results of the trial. Three, the trial could get postponed until after the 2008 season.

Marshall has the talent to be a WR1 when on the field. If he only misses 2 games on the season, he'll likely be a steal. His current ADP is now 57.2, near the end of the 5th round. I personally find it hard to believe that he'll be suspended again for a trial that was known about prior to the original suspension. That being said, he represents excellent WR2 value in the 5th round, and I'm recommending selecting him there.

Jay Cutler is a fantasy property whose value is closely tied to Marshall. With Marshall on the field, he has the talent and the passing game weapons necessary to make a leap into the 2nd tier of QBs behind Brady and Manning. With Marshall not on the field, he's without a proven commodity at the WR position, which would make it hard for him to take that next step in career progression. I'm also recommending Cutler as a strong break-through candidate and a good value where he's being drafted. Draft a safe QB2 behind Cutler that you wouldn't mind using the first couple weeks, and one who could start for you should Marshall miss additional time.

I will update both players in my value analysis below.

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