Torry Holt's Knee

St. Louis Rams WR Torry Holt's knee is starting to become a serious problem. He estimates that he's only 70-80% healthy, and he also stated that he wasn't sure if it would ever heal all the way. This is a problem that he's been dealing with for about 2 years now. He had offseason surgery on it, but his knee clearly has not recovered yet.

Fantasy Impact: I would avoid taking him in the 2nd round as your WR1 as his ADP is 2.10. There are plenty of WR1s being taken in the same vicinity of Holt such as Chad Johnson, Steve Smith, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, and Terrell Owens. All have similar upside, and none of them have current health issues. Take any one of them before Holt and let someone else gamble that Holt will be his usual self this year. Holt might end up being fine, but why take the risk with your top WR?

The other person affected here is Marc Bulger. If Holt isn't 100%, Bulger loses big production from one of the best WRs in football and obviously his favorite target. Isaac Bruce and Drew Bennett are quality options, but Bruce is aging, and Bennett is overrated as a true starter. The Rams offense won't be quite the same, and that leads me to believe that Bulger would suffer from it. More of the offense might go through Steven Jackson. Bulger will still have solid options, but he becomes a riskier pick, and you have to factor that in if you're going to use your 4th rounder on him. It might be wiser to use that on a WR2 instead, and go after a better value pick at the QB position a bit later in the draft.