Friday, March 6, 2009

WR2 Value Analysis Recap

13) Plaxico Burress
ADP: 36.1 (3rd round, 12th pick)
Value: Over Valued

2008 Finish: 59th

Recap: Owners who drafted Burress really shot themselves in the foot. Or leg. Yeah, that was a bit too easy.

14) Anquan Boldin
ADP: 39.9 (4th round, 4th pick)
Value: Appropriately Valued

2008 Finish: 7th

Recap: I updated Fitzgerald, but forgot to update Boldin to undervalued. At any rate, Boldin exceeded expectations but being the #1 fantasy WR until his annual injury, and that included the 2 missed games in weeks 5 and 6 after becoming a human sandwich. Unfortunately a leg injury slowed his season down after week 12, and he missed weeks 16 and 17. At any rate, when on the field, Boldin was a WR1.

15) Greg Jennings
ADP: 41.7 (4th round, 6th pick)
Value: Over Valued

2008 Finish: 4th

Recap: Uh yeah, huge miss here. I took the wrong side of the logic. In 2007, Jennings generated way too many TDs per catch, so it would stand to reason that either his TDs will crash, or his receptions will rise. The aging Driver passed the torch to Jennings as Rodgers big arm was a perfect fit for Jennings downfield ability. Jennings turned in a stud year.

16) Roy Williams
ADP: 47.7 (4th round, 12th pick)
Value: Under Valued

2008 Finish: 71st

Overview: Hot freaking vomit. Possibly my two biggest misses back to back here. Calvin Johnson took over in Detroit while Roy sulked and sucked, and then he was traded to a team that had little interest in using him. Horrible bust.

17) Santonio Holmes
ADP: 50.5 (5th round round, 2nd pick)
Value: Appropriately Valued

2008 Finish: 32nd

Recap: Another miss, although this one wasn't quite as bad as the last two. The PIT passing game was essentially non-existent in 2008, and Holmes suffered before a huge playoff run. Nice for him to do that after the fantasy season was over. Holmes was a WR3 and nothing more.

18) Hines Ward
ADP: 56.6 (5th round, 8th pick)
Value: Over Valued

2008 Finish: 16th

Recap: While Holmes was inconsistently used, Ward maintained his steady pace, putting in another fine WR2 season. They swapped the numbers I expected each other to post.

19) Brandon Marshall
ADP: 57.2 (5th round, 9th pick)
Value: Under Valued

2008 Recap: 12th

Overview: Marshall exploded out of the gates, and then settled into posting solid numbers all season long. He's here to stay as a WR1.

20) Marvin Harrison
ADP: 57.2 (5th round round, 9th pick)
Value: Under Valued

2008 Finish: 42nd

Recap: Harrison's knees didn't give him an explosiveness, and they might have ended his career. Harrison was a bust.

21) Calvin Johnson
ADP: 57.3 (5th round, 9th pick)
Value: Appropriately Valued

2008 Finish: 3rd

Recap: Calvin was simply one of the best WRs in football last season, which was incredibly amazing given the crap QBs he had throwing him the ball. He's here to stay as a dominant WR force.

22) Dwayne Bowe
ADP: 59.7 (5th round, 12th pick)
Value: Appropriately Valued

2008 Finish: 18th

Recap: Bowe gave you exactly what you expected from him, and he was a rock solid WR2 in 2008.

23) Lee Evans
ADP: 65.3 (6th round, 5th pick)
Value: Under Valued

2008 Finish: 26th

Overview: Evans was indeed undervalued for the first half of the season, but then things went terrible wrong in the 2nd half as the Bills offense slowly fell apart. He turned in a pretty solid season and gave you a nice return on investment, but he wasn't worth reaching for.

24) Donald Driver
ADP: 70.3 (6th round, 10th pick)
Value: Over Valued

2008 Finish: 23rd

Recap: Driver actually turned out to be a solid investment in 2008, thanks to the excellent play of Aaron Rodgers.

WR2 Summary:

Hits: Burress, Boldin, Marshall, C. Johnson, Bowe

Misses: Too many.


5/12...awful. Needs improvement.

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